Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.183898 0.213426 0.246205 0.285297 0.330668 0.381690 0.443459
2025-05-18 0.134575 0.173095 0.220433 0.282930 0.363373 0.463576 0.598127
2025-05-25 0.106024 0.146289 0.199331 0.274411 0.378156 0.516787 0.716705
2025-06-01 0.091824 0.134175 0.193224 0.281711 0.411303 0.594742 0.875257
2025-06-08 0.079573 0.122177 0.184563 0.282778 0.434046 0.659126 1.021293
2025-06-15 0.071012 0.113965 0.179683 0.287811 0.462032 0.733129 1.189741
2025-06-22 0.061676 0.103038 0.168890 0.281677 0.471015 0.777881 1.316724
2025-06-29 0.054716 0.094872 0.161203 0.279117 0.484738 0.830832 1.462538
2025-07-06 0.049658 0.089153 0.156680 0.280982 0.505618 0.897370 1.638898
2025-07-13 0.047165 0.087519 0.158811 0.294464 0.548074 1.005527 1.901916
2025-07-20 0.044365 0.084936 0.158865 0.304019 0.584254 1.106156 2.162990
2025-07-27 0.041591 0.082027 0.157914 0.311431 0.617032 1.203793 2.429807
2025-08-03 0.038327 0.077859 0.154257 0.313479 0.640261 1.287052 2.681453
2025-08-10 0.034868 0.072892 0.148497 0.310684 0.653568 1.352567 2.906082
2025-08-17 0.031163 0.066954 0.140075 0.301326 0.652025 1.387427 3.070136
2025-08-24 0.029532 0.065171 0.139942 0.309350 0.688158 1.504794 3.427529
2025-08-31 0.027452 0.062157 0.136847 0.310522 0.709367 1.592369 3.729276
2025-09-07 0.025934 0.060199 0.135792 0.316054 0.740890 1.706064 4.105107
2025-09-14 0.023632 0.056179 0.129702 0.309312 0.743251 1.753838 4.331004
2025-09-21 0.021841 0.053144 0.125506 0.306498 0.754504 1.823411 4.618495
2025-09-28 0.020538 0.051123 0.123441 0.308548 0.777750 1.924102 4.996313
2025-10-05 0.020118 0.051219 0.126422 0.323367 0.834472 2.112931 5.623837
2025-10-12 0.019453 0.050620 0.127638 0.333869 0.881459 2.282870 6.223883